SA REITs pause in September as sector readies for growth into 2026
Sector slips 0.3% despite stronger bonds and equities while dividend growth momentum continues
South African Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) recorded a marginal 0.3% decline in September, underperforming both equities (+6.6%) and bonds (+3.4%), according to the SA REIT Association’s September 2025 Chart Book. Despite this pause, the sector’s year-to-date return remains at 14%, broadly in line with the bond market, though well behind the equity market’s strong 31.7% advance.
“The subdued performance in September is notable given the sharp decline in long bond yields, a buoyant equity market and further signs that distributable earnings growth is accelerating into 2026,” says Ian Anderson, Head of Listed Property and Portfolio Manager at Merchant West Investments and compiler of the Chart Book.
He adds: “Dividends across the sector are growing by close to 10% year-on-year, yet investors remain cautious about whether this acceleration will be sustained. However, the evidence increasingly supports ongoing double-digit dividend growth into 2026.”
September by the numbers
- SA REIT sector: -0.3% in September, +14% year-to-date
- Equities: +6.6% in September, +31.7% year-to-date
- Bonds: +3.4% in September, +14.0% year-to-date
- Dividends: Sector-wide growth of close to 10% year-on-year
- New equity raised in 2025: Just under R4 billion
Results momentum builds across the sector
September saw several key companies release results to end-June 2025.
Growthpoint surprised on the upside with distributable income up 3.1%. Despite disposing of 24 properties worth R2.3 billion and reducing its gross lettable area by over 5%, net property income in its core South African portfolio rose 5%. Management raised the dividend payout ratio to 85%, lifting the dividend 6.1%, well above market consensus. Guidance for FY26 remains conservative while dividends are still expected to grow 6% to 8%.
Fortress delivered a 7.1% dividend increase in FY25. Supported by improving property fundamentals, a robust development pipeline and lower interest rates, management forecasts further growth of 6% to 7.5% in FY26.
Hyprop reported strong operating performance in both South Africa and Eastern Europe. Its FY25 dividend rose 9.9%, with guidance for distributable income growth of 10% to 12% in FY26. The upbeat tone from management represents a shift from their cautious outlook of recent years.
Beyond the large caps, Attacq, Heriot, SA Corporate, Safari and Texton also released better-than-expected results, while Fairvest and Vukile issued positive trading updates. Dipula successfully raised R559 million through an accelerated bookbuild in early September, funding its acquisition of Protea Gardens Mall in Soweto alongside four additional smaller assets.
Investor sentiment shows signs of recovery
Investor confidence in the listed property sector continues to improve. Roughly R4 billion of new equity has already been raised in 2025. While this is still well below the R30 billion annual average raised between 2015 and 2017, it represents a significant rebound from the R8 billion of net new equity raised across the entire period between late 2019 and early 2025.
“This is increasingly a story of returning investor confidence,” indicates Anderson. “The ability to raise capital again at competitive levels, alongside sharply lower borrowing costs, provides the sector with the resources to return to external growth. Acquisitions, redevelopments and greenfield developments are once again feasible, with the potential to accelerate income and dividend growth.”
For example, Growthpoint Healthcare Property Holdings, managed by Growthpoint Investment Partners, the fund management business of Growthpoint, has recently announced that it has entered into an agreement to acquire the properties and operations of Auria Senior Living, a developer, owner and operator of senior living communities in South Africa.
The sector’s transformation over the past five years has been marked by defensive measures: Balance sheet management, recycling capital and optimising portfolios. With these foundations now stronger, listed property is positioned to deliver earnings growth above inflation and renewed capital appreciation.
Outlook: Poised for a new growth phase
Anderson notes that while short-term prices can move on sentiment, interest rates and liquidity, long-term capital growth ultimately depends on sustainable earnings and cash flow.
“South Africa’s REIT sector is entering a period of inflation-beating earnings growth, which is not yet fully reflected in most share prices. This creates an opportunity for investors who recognise the sector’s improving fundamentals.”
The positive outlook for the sector was echoed at the SAPOA Convention 2025 at Sun City on 2 October during the panel Listed property – the real economy’s barometer. Anderson opened the discussion with an overview on resilience and growth prospects in the sector. He was joined by Kundayi Munzara, Executive Director and Portfolio Manager at Sesfikile Capital, Pranita Daya, Equity Analyst and Assistant Portfolio Manager at Truffle Asset Management and Andrew Wooler, Chief Executive Officer of Burstone. Moderated by Peter Clark, Founder of REdimension Capital, the discussion highlighted fundamentals, discipline and the role of direct property as a true barometer of the economy. The panel confirmed that listed property is regaining relevance as a clear indicator of South Africa’s real economy.
The full September 2025 Chart Book is available for download on the SA REIT Association website.
SA REIT Conference 2026
The SA REIT Association’s biennial conference, proudly sponsored by Nedbank Corporate and Investment Banking’s Property Finance division, will take place on 12 February 2026 at The Houghton Hotel, Johannesburg.
This flagship event will convene REIT executives, investors, asset managers, policymakers and market experts to engage on the most pressing forces shaping the future of listed real estate. Topics will include global market volatility, access to capital, innovation, local government risks and the policy environment. With a focus on sector credibility and long-term investor relevance, the agenda promises strategic insight and practical direction.
A highlight will be the keynote address by Peter Verwer, Executive Chairman of Futurefy, titled Global REIT Dynamics: Innovation, Influence and Opportunity. He will explore how REITs worldwide are adapting to investor demands, digital transformation, sustainability imperatives and links to infrastructure and nation building. His perspective comes at a pivotal moment, following the relaunch of the Global REIT Alliance in Stockholm in September 2025.
Originally established in 2006 under the banner of the Real Estate Equity Securitization Alliance (REESA), the alliance has been revitalised under its new name to strengthen international collaboration, knowledge-sharing and industry advocacy. The SA REIT Association is a member of the Alliance.
