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Emira reports robust half-year results and reshapes its portfolio 

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Emira Property Fund (JSE: EMI) reported strategic delivery, diversification-enhancing acquisitions, active capital recycling, and strong operational and balance sheet metrics for its six-month interim period ended 30 September 2024. The company’s interim distributable income per share increased by 6.9%. It declared a 1.1% higher cash-backed interim dividend per share of 62.39c. Emira’s net asset value per share increased by 12.3% to 1,945.50cps during the six months, driven by rising property valuations and the fair value equity gain from Emira’s maiden investment in Poland.

Geoff Jennett, CEO of Emira Property Fund, attributes the positive performance to strengthening operational metrics, active asset recycling, and strategic deal-making, reflected in its reshaped portfolio. He adds that Emira is on track to deliver on its objectives for the full year, which it expects to result in marginally higher distributable income compared to that achieved for its past financial year.

Jennett reports, “Emira’s local portfolio outperformed, our US investments are comfortably on track, and we completed the first tranche of our investment into DL Invest, bolstering our diversification by tapping into Poland’s burgeoning economy with its unique growth drivers and opportunities.”

Emira invested €55,5 million for an initial effective 25% equity stake in DL Invest Group, a Luxembourg-headquartered property company developing logistics centres, mixed-use/office complexes and retail parks, valuing its assets at €730 million and NAV at €278 million pre-investment.

Emira has the option to expand its position in DL Invest Group by investing an additional €44,5 million, which will   increase its equity holding to 45%. This second tranche subscription option must be exercised by 31 January 2025 and requires shareholder approval to pursue. Castleview Property Fund, which holds around 58% of Emira’s issued shares, has given its irrevocable vote in favour of exercising the option, and shareholders can expect to receive a circular regarding the option.

DL Invest Group has a 17-year track record in Polish commercial real estate, with a €730 million portfolio focused mainly on logistics. Emira’s investment will fund DL Invest Group’s logistics development pipeline, aiming to create a €1 billion business. The partnership aligns with its co-investment strategy with in-country specialists. Emira will participate actively, with board representation, and has committed to an initial five to six-year investment term.

Funding for the first tranche of investment came from Emira’s balance sheet and recent disposals. Its non-core commercial and residential property sales transferred, completed and agreed upon during the period totalled R2.6bn. Emira’s strategic capital recycling strengthens liquidity by disposing of non-core assets that can be sold at fuller value. This creates capacity to invest in undervalued opportunities with stronger growth potential.

Emira’s balance sheet is healthy, with an adequate 2.3x interest cover ratio and a loan-to-value ratio that declined from 42.4% to 42.0% over the six months and is expected to decrease further as property disposals transfer and a portion of the proceeds are deployed to reduce debt. It reported unutilised debt facilities of R370m and cash on hand of R112.8m at half-year which will increase as proceeds from disposals are realised. Emira has a strong and diversified financial foundation, with support from all major South African banks and the proven ability to access the debt capital markets. In October, GCR affirmed its corporate long-term credit rating of A(ZA) and corporate short-term rating of A1(ZA), with a stable outlook.

The first tranche of its latest transaction has immediately increased Emira’s international investments to 26.8% of its portfolio — with 15.5% in the US and 11.3% in Poland — while 73% remains in South Africa, shifting it towards lower-risk, more attractive diversification with enhanced stability and appeal. The second tranche DL Invest Group option creates the potential for this to become nearly 37% offshore.

Emira is a real estate investment trust (REIT) with a diversified portfolio balanced to deliver stability and sustainability through different cycles. This risk-mitigating strategy includes a mix of domestic and international assets in direct holdings and indirect investments with specialist co-investors. Emira’s direct South African portfolio of 84 properties worth R12.1bn is diversified across commercial property sectors and residential rental property. Emira’s exposure to the United States is with US-based partner The Rainier Companies. Emira holds equity interests, with unanimous voting rights, in 12 dominant, value-oriented grocery-anchored power centres.

The local portfolio performed well, surpassing most key targets. SA commercial vacancies are already low and tightened to 3.9% from 4.1%. The portfolio saw an increase in like-for-like valuation of 4.7%, reflecting enhanced metrics across all three sectors and improved business sentiment. Residential occupancy remained strong at 96.7% and, similarly, maintained like-for-like valuation levels. Both sets of metrics signal a property portfolio that is attractive, competitive, adaptable and designed for lasting performance.

Emira’s commercial portfolio by value is split between urban retail (43%), office (25%) and industrial (15%) of the directly held SA portfolio. All sector vacancies are below the applicable benchmarks, and tenant retention increased from 81% to 83% by revenue during the period, reinforcing Emira’s effective leasing strategies. Its 15-property directly held retail portfolio of primarily grocery-anchored neighbourhood centres catering to their communities is trading well with improved metrics, including low vacancies of 4.2%. Despite the slump in office sector fundamentals, Emira’s portfolio of 20 mainly P- and A-grade office properties saw office vacancies improve into single-digit territory, from 10.9% to 9.4%. Emira’s diversified industrial portfolio of 28 properties enjoyed strong demand and delivered a sustained defensive performance at near full occupancy, with vacancies stable at 0.7%.

Residential rental assets comprise 21 properties, or 17% of Emira’s directly held SA portfolio by value, comprised of The Bolton in Rosebank, Johannesburg, and the 20 quality, affordable suburban units of Transcend Residential Property Fund, Emira’s wholly-owned specialist residential company. The portfolio of 3,588 units is split between Gauteng’s (90% by value) and Cape Town’s (10% by value) high-demand areas. The portfolio is achieving rental growth, with sustained demand for accommodation.

Overall, the commercial portfolio benefited from R119.8m in tactical upgrades, including various sustainability-driven initiatives, reconfigurations and refurbishments. Emira also invested R8.6m into its residential portfolio.

Emira collaborates with industry bodies to address South Africa’s deteriorating municipal infrastructure, which is a concern due to underinvestment. Inconsistent utility supply and rising costs hinder operational efficiency. To combat this, Emira is driving sustainability through fast-tracked solar power, water-saving initiatives, and backup systems. “We’re committed to energy-efficient buildings and are passionate about biodiversity. Our ESG strategy makes Emira properties the excellent choice for businesses,” notes Jennett.

Jennett points to easing inflation, declining interest rates, and growing political stability in South Africa, transforming the outlook for local real estate. “With costs stabilising for consumers and businesses alike, spending is set to rise, boosting property demand. More favourable interest rates should bolster investor confidence and reshape tenant demand patterns. Decreased loadshedding has further strengthened business confidence, prompting firms to invest in longer-term plans. Improved sentiment post-election bodes well for stronger long-term returns from the property sector, but short-term growth will be tempered as the market absorbs elevated vacancies and while economic headwinds subside. While it will take time for these positive factors to yield measurable results, they position Emira well to continue delivering strong returns to investors.”

Emira’s 12 equity investments in US grocery-anchored dominant value-oriented power centres total R2.56bn (USD147.1m). The US economy remains on a steady and stable growth trajectory, with GDP up 3% for Q2 2024 and 2.8% for Q3 2024 coupled with low unemployment, easing inflation and a 50bps cut to interest rates in September and another 25bps trim in November. While US elections introduced some uncertainty to the economy, stability should return with clarity of the new government’s priorities and policy. This environment continues to support Emira’s investment in US open-air centres focused on popular value and needs-based retail in robust markets.

Robustly resilient property fundamentals and high-quality tenants underpinned the US portfolio’s low vacancy rate of 3.5% and combined portfolio WALE of 4.5 years. It delivered a solid performance, adding R120.1m to Emira’s distributable income.

Jennett concludes, “Emira’s strategic pivot is in full swing as we target opportunities with robust growth potential tightly aligned with our long-term goals. These solid half-year results put us firmly on track for a marginal increase in distributable income for FY25, reinforcing Emira’s consistent record of reliable performance.”

Redefine Properties reports solid financial results for FY24

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Redefine Properties reports solid financial results for FY24: A pivotal turning point for the property sector

Johannesburg, 4 November 2024 – Redefine Properties (JSE:RDF) has reported solid improvements across its key operational metrics for the financial year ending August 31, 2024. This year has marked a crucial turning point for the property sector, as easing interest rates and increasing confidence are leading to better property fundamentals and a more favourable operating environment.

Andrew König, CEO of Redefine, stated that the decrease in political risk, along with a stable electricity supply, has boosted confidence. He noted, “Advancements in strategic reforms, such as Operation Vulindlela and the Government of National Unity’s emphasis on supporting local government as well as a commitment to achieving 3% economic growth, are all contributing to this increased confidence, which serves as a cost-effective form of economic stimulus. This, combined with falling interest rates, is helping to propel the property cycle upward.”

Redefine has focused on preparing for a potential recovery in the property cycle. The reported enhancements in operating metrics, though starting from a low baseline, are primarily the result of strategic initiatives. These include efforts to simplify the asset base, optimise capital by restructuring R27.7 billion in local debt, develop talent, and expand sustainability initiatives like the implementation of solar PV systems to meet energy needs.

Redefine’s COO, Leon Kok, noted that during the reporting period, most of the company’s South African operating metrics have either stabilised or improved. “In particular, occupancy rates increased to 93.2%, up from 93.0% in FY23, with noticeable enhancements across all sectors. Tenant retention, which has become more difficult due to heightened competition from excess supply, is nearing 90%. This is a strong result that reflects the quality of Redefine’s portfolio and the strength of our relationships with tenants, who are eager to renew long-term leases with us.”

He stated that Redefine’s retail portfolio continues to perform well, with occupancy rates for FY24 rising to 95.0% (FY23: 93.6%). “We anticipate further improvements in occupancy rates for FY25 due to positive sentiment and decreasing interest rates, which are expected to enhance consumer spending power.”

Redefine reported an overall improvement in renewal reversions, now at -5.9%, up from -6.7% in FY23, primarily driven by the retail and industrial sectors. While the office portfolio saw negative reversions of -13.9%, Kok explained that this was due to market rentals not keeping pace with underlying rental escalations. He anticipates stabilisation as market conditions improve.

However, occupancy in the office portfolio continues to benefit from Redefine’s exposure to P- and A-grade assets. The limited demand in the office market is increasingly focused on higher-quality properties, where Redefine holds a more competitive advantage.

Redefine’s industrial portfolio remains resilient, benefiting from long leases and quality tenants, with renewal reversions increasing by 5.5% during the period. Kok noted that this result reflects both the portfolio’s quality and the underlying activity supporting market rental growth. “Our strategy in this sector is bullish regarding capital allocation, as we have access to developable land in prime locations near key transport hubs, which should create a strong pipeline of leasing opportunities.”

Kok highlighted the increase in solar PV capacity as another positive result from FY24. During the year, Redefine added a further 8MW of solar capacity, with an additional 18MW currently underway. Once completed, this will bring the total installed capacity to over 60MW.

Solar PV accounts for 18% of the energy requirements for the South African retail portfolio, while Polish retail, logistics, and office sectors utilise 25%, 86%, and 100% green energy, respectively.

In Poland, EPP’s core portfolio has achieved an occupancy rate of 99.1% (FY23: 98.4%), with renewal reversions turning positive at 0.2% (FY23: -7.2%), which signals a return to market rental growth.

“The Polish economy is stabilising, and we are beginning to observe a rebound in retail spending growth due to moderating inflation and electricity costs returning to pre-energy crisis levels,” König explained. “Likewise, the logistics sector is performing well, supported by a market that favours infrastructure expansion, particularly in Western Europe and Germany.”

ELI, Redefine’s Polish logistics platform, has an occupancy rate of 93.4%, and the 62,601 sqm of developments completed during the period are fully occupied.

Redefine’s self-storage operations in that market are also growing, following the acquisition of TopBox. Along with seven new developments being considered, this could potentially increase the net lettable area by an additional 33 277 sqm.

Redefine CFO Ntobeko Nyawo said that from a financial standpoint, Redefine’s balance sheet remains strong. “We achieved distributable income per share of 50.02 cents, in line with our market guidance. Net operating income in our South African portfolio grew by 5.2% to R4.967 billion, demonstrating our ability to maintain profitability amidst challenging conditions.”

The EPP core portfolio delivered net property income of R1.3 billion, which is an improvement on last year’s R1.2 billion, and was largely driven by rental indexation and increased occupancy levels. The cash distributions from the joint ventures also increased to R612.4 million compared with R334.3 million in FY23.

“We have acknowledged concerns regarding the complexity and high leverage of our joint ventures. To address these issues, we have developed a comprehensive plan and programme that will be implemented over time. Although this is not an immediate process, we have a medium-term strategy designed to tackle the challenges associated with these joint ventures, including necessary corporate actions. We are also pleased to report that institutional investment is returning to the Polish market, which supports the launch of our action plan.”

Nyawo said that the solid operational results were offset by the net finance charges increasing by 15.1% to R2.1 billion. “However, if we look at the quality of our earnings, it is pleasing that 95.8% of FY24 distributable income is recurring in nature; demonstrating the business’ ability to generate sustainable earnings in a tough operating environment.”

Nyawo stated that a major priority this year has been developing an efficient funding model to support the growth ambitions of the property platform. During the period, Redefine achieved a significant milestone with its innovative R27.7 billion common debt-security structure, which is anticipated to enhance competition among funders.

“The substantial refinancing completed in FY24 has resulted in a very low-risk debt maturity profile for us. In FY25 and FY26, no more than 10% of our group debt will be maturing, and with access to liquidity of R4.8 billion, our business is able to absorb headwinds and cease opportunities as they arise.”

He noted that the SA REIT’s loan-to-value ratio for FY24 stood at 42.3%, slightly exceeding the target range of 38% to 41%. The acquisition of the Mall of the South contributed 1.1% to this figure, which Redefine had previously communicated to the market. There are plans in place to reduce this ratio within the target range over the medium term.

“Finally, we are pleased to report that our distribution results include a payout of 22.2 cents for the second half, bringing our FY24 payout ratio to 85%. This is within our established dividend payout range of between 80-90%.”

Looking ahead, König said that Redefine is optimistic about FY25, with expectations for distributable income per share to range between 50-53 cents. “We are aware of the geopolitical risks that could disrupt inflation trends and monetary easing. Therefore, we are committed to improving our business performance by enhancing operational efficiency, restructuring our debt, and further simplifying our asset base. This approach will enable us to achieve risk-adjusted returns throughout market cycles. We are transitioning from merely identifying opportunities to actively capitalising on them, building on the progress we’ve made over the past year and focusing on the opportunities we identified in FY24.”

He added that much of the recent improvement in Redefine’s share price can be attributed to macroeconomic factors, such as increased confidence and the downward shift in interest rates. “Moving forward, we need to reinforce this improvement with operational results that support our share price. Our strategy emphasises organic growth, and as our share price approaches a level where the forward yield aligns with our debt pricing, we can reassess the overall debt-equity balance. Additionally, we will offer a dividend reinvestment plan, which seeks to conserve cash for the company and give investors the opportunity to cost effectively reinvest in Redefine’s compelling investment proposition.”

 

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